Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006435 0.007190 0.008012 0.008975 0.010077 0.011300 0.012767
2025-03-23 0.005186 0.006203 0.007403 0.008932 0.010843 0.013171 0.016249
2025-03-30 0.004683 0.005865 0.007336 0.009324 0.011971 0.015419 0.020324
2025-04-06 0.004068 0.005273 0.006835 0.009041 0.012125 0.016360 0.022748
2025-04-13 0.003608 0.004812 0.006428 0.008797 0.012252 0.017219 0.025113
2025-04-20 0.003309 0.004528 0.006217 0.008779 0.012665 0.018497 0.028235
2025-04-27 0.003148 0.004416 0.006225 0.009064 0.013537 0.020544 0.032840
2025-05-04 0.002924 0.004188 0.006039 0.009026 0.013892 0.021805 0.036317
2025-05-11 0.002753 0.004021 0.005923 0.009078 0.014383 0.023331 0.040469
2025-05-18 0.002567 0.003815 0.005726 0.008976 0.014597 0.024395 0.043921
2025-05-25 0.002451 0.003706 0.005671 0.009094 0.015193 0.026193 0.049047
2025-06-01 0.002308 0.003544 0.005514 0.009024 0.015443 0.027377 0.053129
2025-06-08 0.002114 0.003290 0.005199 0.008666 0.015159 0.027576 0.055329
2025-06-15 0.001994 0.003153 0.005067 0.008624 0.015467 0.028984 0.060448
2025-06-22 0.001958 0.003149 0.005162 0.009001 0.016620 0.032251 0.070441
2025-06-29 0.001820 0.002963 0.004923 0.008728 0.016451 0.032721 0.073869
2025-07-06 0.001700 0.002800 0.004714 0.008495 0.016332 0.033281 0.077631
2025-07-13 0.001623 0.002706 0.004622 0.008478 0.016662 0.034885 0.084430
2025-07-20 0.001591 0.002692 0.004673 0.008751 0.017646 0.038137 0.096433
2025-07-27 0.001521 0.002603 0.004578 0.008714 0.017941 0.039791 0.104320
2025-08-03 0.001466 0.002539 0.004526 0.008765 0.018436 0.042011 0.114429
2025-08-10 0.001398 0.002445 0.004410 0.008666 0.018574 0.043339 0.122103
2025-08-17 0.001359 0.002404 0.004393 0.008780 0.019228 0.046120 0.135211